you said yourself that columbia is your dream school. you should of course apply to duke regular decision just in case something goes wrong, but i think columbia ED is a good idea. i'm slightly worried about your gpa because a bunch of Bs means that your unweighted (which is the important one) gpa is maybe not a 4.0. if your rank is still high (top 10 in your cl), then you should still have a good shot.
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